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U. S. far outpaces China and Italy in new virus cases

Geogrande.com / Published March 25, 2020

BEND, OREGON USA – The number of new COVID-19 cases is growing much more rapidly in the U. S. than it has in China and Italy (see accompanying graph). The U. S. eclipsed China in the number of new daily cases around the 12th day of the outbreak in the U. S., or March 23 (assuming the U. S. outbreak began on March 12, the first day 300 daily new cases were exceeded in the U. S.).

Graph - New COVID-19 Cases in U. S., China, and Italy

Strict control measures such as stay-at-home orders and social-distancing began in earnest in the three countries on January 23 in China, March 11 in Italy, and around March 16 in the U. S.

Using as a starting day of the outbreak the first day that 300 daily new cases were reached in each country, the control measures appear to have caused the number of daily new cases to drop from peaks of 7,744 new cases on day 13 in China and 6,557 new cases on day 21 in Italy. Daily new cases in the U. S. appear to have not yet peaked as of day 13 of the U. S. outbreak, March 24.